Oversold US Dollar threatens stock, commodity, bond prices

Friday, September 25, 2009 19:01

When we wrote “Inflating a Bull Market,” we mentioned the inverse relationship between the US dollar and stock prices. In March, the US dollar peaked from overbought levels and began to decline. At the same time stocks bottomed from oversold levels and began to move up. The reason is simple – Stocks are priced in US dollars. As the dollar weakens, it takes more of them to buy stocks (or anything priced in Dollars), which causes prices to rise.

The US Dollar is now oversold and may be poised for a move-up (at least in the shorter term) which should cause the price of “things” priced in dollar to decline (Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, etc)

usdThe relationship between the US dollar and assets priced in Dollars is illustrated in the chart below. The steady dollar decline caused prices of stocks, oil, commodities, and corporate bonds to rise.

USD_OIL_CRB_SPXThe US Dollar-Stock market relationship is shown in the next chart.

dollar_sp500

Crude Oil was one of the weaker commodities this week and broke below a support line after failing to move above the August highs. oil

Related posts:

  1. Market Corrects as Dollar Climbs
  2. Inflating a Bull Market
  3. Stocks: Oversold Rally Will Soon be Tested
  4. Russian Stock Market Collapses; Trading Halted
  5. US Dollar Losing Steam

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One Response to “Oversold US Dollar threatens stock, commodity, bond prices”

  1. Joshua Daniels says:

    September 27th, 2009 at 11:46 am

    There is ONLY one way you can insulate yourself from what is to come, and it is NOT through gold and silver ownership. When there’s simply not enough food, gold is meaningless, and you starve.

    The Sea Lions Foundation is preparing your way out. It’s time to invest in your future by taking control of it.

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