Archive for the ‘Commodities’ Category
Dow/Gold Ratio Historical Chart (1968-2009)
Thursday, May 20, 2010 10:49 No CommentsChart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average priced in ounces of gold since 1968. The data set used divides the DJIA annual closing price by that years average gold price. Because this is annual data, some of the extreme monthly readings are smoothed out.
The bottom, in our example, occurred in 1980 when the ratio was [...]
Crude Oil is Oversold; Testing Support
Wednesday, May 19, 2010 14:28 No CommentsThe selloff of in the price of crude oil may soon reverse as it’s become oversold (RSI below 30). So far, price has remained above the February lows which further supports our conclusion. The oversold condition shouldn’t come as a surprise since crude oil is priced in US dollar throughout the world and the dollar [...]
Why Gold And The Dollar Are BOTH Rising
Sunday, May 16, 2010 12:35 3 CommentsAn unusual dynamic has taken shape over the last few months – Both the US Dollar and Gold have been rising together. Normally, such a movement would seem counter intuitive as Gold is a commodity and commodities tend to move in the opposite direction of the US dollar. There is a slight caveat, however, to [...]
Oversold US Dollar threatens stock, commodity, bond prices
Friday, September 25, 2009 19:01 3 CommentsWhen we wrote “Inflating a Bull Market,” we mentioned the inverse relationship between the US dollar and stock prices. In March, the US dollar peaked from overbought levels and began to decline. At the same time stocks bottomed from oversold levels and began to move up. The reason is simple – Stocks are priced [...]
World Resources Map by Country
Sunday, June 14, 2009 10:00 2 CommentsThis map is courtesy of Mint.com and shows the top producing countries of each resource, or the proved reserves in the case of oil and natural gas. Click on the image to see full size.
Nat Gas Extremely Cheap Relative to Oil
Thursday, June 11, 2009 19:05 No Comments15 year chart of the natural gas to oil ratio. Nat gas is at a multi decade low relative to oil.
Inflating a Bull Market
Wednesday, June 10, 2009 19:31 3 CommentsMuch has been made over the recent stock market rally. The advance from the bottom has, indeed, been historic and has caught many of us by surprise. Though the market was extremely oversold and due for an upward correction, we continue to be amazed at its strength and longevity. A closer examination, however, reveals that [...]
Is Silver Cheap? These charts suggest it is
Friday, March 13, 2009 18:23 1 CommentI came across an article on MarketWatch.com which argues that the price of silver is cheap relative to gold. Written by Myra Saefong, the article goes on to say that because silver is trading more than 70 times less than gold, it is under priced when compared to gold.
When reading market commentary, I tend to [...]
Dow/Gold Ratio Hits 7; Multi Decade Low
Thursday, March 5, 2009 19:34 14 CommentsIn our 2009 forecast, we mentioned that the Dow Jones/Gold ratio would likely hit 5 this year. A milestone was reached today as the Dow Jones index made a fresh 20 year low in terms of gold. The ratio has fallen to 7, down from the 1999 peak of 42.5 ounces.
Seven 1 oz. gold eagle [...]
The New Currency Trade: Gold Vs. All Else
Wednesday, February 25, 2009 8:18 2 Commentsby David Gaffen
Investors have taken to terming the flight from risky assets into gold a new currency trade. The ongoing concern about the enormous task of getting the world’s banks on track — bedeviling investors across the globe — has produced a safe-haven trade into the likes of Treasurys and the dollar. However, [...]





















