Charting Stocks

Have you ever asked yourself why the Dow Jones Industrial Average contains non-industrial stocks? Why such a large weighting is given to financial companies such as American Express, Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan and AIG (Before its removal)? After all, you wouldn’t expect to see General Motors included in the healthcare index or Goldman [...]

Net Government Savings
An historic decline in in government savings from 2001-2002. Trend is continuing lower.
Depository Institution Borrowing from the Fed.

I’m sure that the chart below  comes as no surprise. Each of the major industry groups are down for the year. Banks and brokers are down 49% and 20.50% respectively.

The following chart contains the same industry groups as the previous but instead of plotting absolute performance, we focus on relative performance (Each industry group relative [...]

Louise Yamada is widely regarded as one of the top technical analysts in the business. She was a Managing Director and Head of Technical Research for Smith Barney and was the top-ranked market technician in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004.
In November, Louise stressed the importance of the Dow Jones holding the 2002 lows and warned [...]

Dow Jones in danger of breaking below 6,000 in 2009.
In our forecast for 2009 we mentioned that the Dow Jones could break below 6,000 this year. The probability of our prediction being correct was elevated last Monday as the Dow Jones closed below the 2002 lows. We took note of the bearish close but also [...]

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Gold’s recent price action suggests a breakout may be near.

After consolidating for almost a year, it appears that gold may be in the early stages of another advancement. The chart below illustrates the breach of the 1 year downtrend (Red line). The RSI (bottom section) suggests that the move may have more to go as [...]

The $838 billion bailout out bill dujour won approval in the Senate by a vote of 61-37. The market reacted  in the same way as the passage of previous bailout bills – It sold off.
Why does this happen? The media is mostly to blame. They are constantly peddling false optimism while setting their viewers sites [...]

2009 will be a year of complete destruction for the US economy. 5 Million will lose their jobs. The Dow Jones Industrial average will break below 6,000. Municipalities will fail. Insurers will fail. The unemployed and foreclosed American population will take to the streets and begin rioting. The Greatest Depression is upon us.
Sound far fetched? [...]

One of the ways market technicians try to predict sector out performance is by conducting a relative strength analysis. In a bear market the price charts of most sectors and stocks are moving down with the market. Some sectors are moving down more than the market, and so they are relatively weaker, and some are [...]