Charting Stocks

“Sell in may and walk away” is an old saying on Wall St. The stock market tends to experience periods of relative under and out performance based on seasonality. From 1897-2008, for example, the average return of the DJIA is 4.6% between November to April, while only averaging 2.5% (Almost half) between the months of [...]

The once over-sold stock market has rallied for the past couple of weeks. This rally, though fresh in all of our minds, is not much different in time, or magnitude, than the previous upward corrections throughout this bear market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose almost 240 points (3.5%) today. As mentioned in a previous post, large daily percentage gains are more consistent with bear markets than bulls. Todays rally was led by banks and REIT’s,  two of the most beaten up and oversold sectors – also consistent with a bear market correction.
Below is [...]

News of a leaked memo by Nationalized Citigroup CEO Vikrim Pandit sent the markets soaring 5% today. The memo states that Citi is profitable for the year. We’ll wait and see if Mr. Pandit’s optimism makes its way to the company’s next earnings release. Judging by previous and similar such statements by Citigroup’s CEO, we [...]

Some of ProShares leveraged ETF’s have not been keeping up with the underlying index it claims to follow. We ran a quick study of the Pro Shares financial ETF’s and found that over the last couple of months, an investor would have lost money regardless if he bought the bull market of bear market ETF.
SKF [...]

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both closed below their 2002 lows.
ChartingStocks.net wrote in our 2009 forecast, contrary to Wall St consensus,  that we expect the Dow Jones to breach the 6,000 level this year and touch upon 5,800. The risk to our outlook would have come if the Dow Jones was [...]

The Dow Jones Industrial Average breached its November low, closing below 7500 for the first time since October 2002.
In only 18 months, the index has given back all of the gains achieved over the previous 5 years.
The chart below shows the index taking out the 2002 lows, but keep in mind that this is a [...]

Gold’s recent price action suggests a breakout may be near.

After consolidating for almost a year, it appears that gold may be in the early stages of another advancement. The chart below illustrates the breach of the 1 year downtrend (Red line). The RSI (bottom section) suggests that the move may have more to go as [...]

One of the ways market technicians try to predict sector out performance is by conducting a relative strength analysis. In a bear market the price charts of most sectors and stocks are moving down with the market. Some sectors are moving down more than the market, and so they are relatively weaker, and some are [...]

I’m amazed at the amount of optimistic propaganda peddled by the mainstream media as well as major investment houses. Countless are their graphs and comparisons which claim that buying and holding stocks is the best way to grow capital. They tell you that the average return of the stock market is 10% and if [...]