Charting Stocks

We’ve written about the relationship between US equities and the US dollar. Stocks bottomed in March and began to move up as the US Dollar topped during the same time and began to move down. Todays market selloff came as an oversold dollar (short term) found buyers.
If the dollar continues this advance, US equities should [...]

“Sell in may and walk away” is an old saying on Wall St. The stock market tends to experience periods of relative under and out performance based on seasonality. From 1897-2008, for example, the average return of the DJIA is 4.6% between November to April, while only averaging 2.5% (Almost half) between the months of [...]

Much has been made (mostly by the mainstream media) over the recent rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many of the usual suspects, including those that have been wrong for the past 3 years, have been quick to call a bottom. We, as technicians, tend to pay little attention to CNBC, Fox Business, etc. [...]

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose almost 240 points (3.5%) today. As mentioned in a previous post, large daily percentage gains are more consistent with bear markets than bulls. Todays rally was led by banks and REIT’s,  two of the most beaten up and oversold sectors – also consistent with a bear market correction.
Below is [...]

The Dow Jones Industrial Average breached its November low, closing below 7500 for the first time since October 2002.
In only 18 months, the index has given back all of the gains achieved over the previous 5 years.
The chart below shows the index taking out the 2002 lows, but keep in mind that this is a [...]

Charting Stocks
First time readers are encouraged to read my 2007 outlook report which was written on January 1, 2007. Click the link below to read.
The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007
In my previous post, I mentioned that the short term move up would most likely stall at 13,500 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. I [...]

March 4, 2007
The Bear Market Has Begun
(Update 2008: OK, so I was a bit early!)
In “The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007,” I made the case for a major stock market decline based on both macroeconomic events and technical weakness emerging in the global financial markets. At the time, my view was against [...]