Charting Stocks

Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Index are trading below their 200-day moving average.  NASDAQ bucked the trend bouncing back above it 200-day MA.
Many analysts in the technical community were unsure if the ‘flash trade’ lows were actual prices which should be included in their analysis, or merely a ‘machine’ blip which [...]

There have been a few bright spots in the current selloff. Short (Inverse) ETF’s, which move in the opposite direction of the underlying index, bottomed in April and have been rising since. Volatility, Treasuries and the US Dollar have also been moving higher. The Dollar, however, is overbought as discussed in this previous post.
Proshares Short [...]

Kondratieff
Nikolai Kondratieff was a Russian Professor who, after the Russian revolution of 1917, was tasked with developing the “Five year plan” which researched and analyzed factors regarding economic growth for the Soviet’s. Kondratieff published his work in 1926 and because his findings seemed critical of the stated policies of Joseph Stalin, Professor Kondratieff was removed [...]

Short ETF’s are the big winners in 2008.
The following ETF’s are among the top performing index funds for all of 2008. It should come as no surprise that each of them short (bet against) the market. This bunch, in particular, actually does so by using leverage and gives the investor exposure to twice the [...]

No  sign of a bottom! The S&P 500 Index has violated it’s 2002 lows. The financial sector remains in free fall. Hartford Insurance appears to be the next AIG, and Citigroup the next Lehman.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is coming close to it’s moment of truth, a test of it’s 2002 lows. A breach of [...]

The Fed’s Move
Amid pressure of growing concerns of a recession, and contrary to every public comment he has ever made, Ben Bernanke stepped in to bail out Wall Street at the expense of higher inflation and a declining US dollar. His 50/50 bps cut on the fed funds and discount rates sent stock prices and [...]

Charting Stocks
September 16, 2007
In recent of posts, I’ve mentioned that 13,450 was an important level of resistance for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. On August 19th I noted that 13,458 was a key Fibonacci resistance level and thought that this would be a reasonable spot for the market to stall. I used last weeks post [...]

Charting Stocks Update
August 19, 2007
“The US government is on a ‘burning platform’ of unsustainable policies and practices with fiscal deficits, chronic healthcare underfunding, immigration and overseas military commitments threatening a crisis if action is not taken soon.
..These include “dramatic” tax rises, slashed government services and the large-scale dumping by foreign governments of holdings of US [...]

Charting Stocks Update
March 17, 2007
Merrill Lynch urges the Fed to cut rates:
Merrill Analyst — “If the inflation-fighting Federal Reserve were to keep rates unchanged to contain price growth — instead of cutting by 1 percentage point in the second half of 2007 as Merrill expects — then this would put the probability of an outright [...]

March 4, 2007
The Bear Market Has Begun
(Update 2008: OK, so I was a bit early!)
In “The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007,” I made the case for a major stock market decline based on both macroeconomic events and technical weakness emerging in the global financial markets. At the time, my view was against [...]