Charting Stocks

Tribune Co. may be filing for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy next week, as advertising revenues tumbled.The company has $1.5 billion due in interest payments on debt due over the next 8 months and won’t have the cash to make good. Tribune has hired Lazard to prepare the bankruptcy filings.
Tribune has been in trouble for a while. [...]

I noticed a couple of comments (OK just one) regarding inflation/deflation and how to know which is dominant. To get the answer I like to use a simple inflation/deflation indicator that I first learned about by reading John Murphy’s Intermarket Analysis book. I highly recommend reading this book to anyone who’s interested in charting stocks [...]

Donald Trump & Co. Maxed Out

You know times are rough when Donald Trump can’t pay his bills!
Trump Entertainment Resorts announced that it will have to miss the $53.1 Million interest payment due to it’s bondholders on Monday. Citing a collapse in revenues and a poor economic environment, the Atlantic City Casino operator says that it [...]

China Wednesday reduced both its lending and borrowing rates by 1.08 percentage points in an effort to ease the money supply.  The Chinese central bank’s one-year yuan lending rate is now 5.58%, while the rate on one-year yuan deposits rate has been lowered to 2.52%.
The central bank also reduced bank reserve requirements by 1% for [...]

The IMF’s chief economist has warned that the global financial crisis is set to worsen and that the situation will not improve until 2010, a report said Saturday.”The worst is yet to come,” Blanchard said in an interview with the Finanz und Wirtschaft newspaper, adding that “a lot of time is needed before the situation [...]

The Fed’s Move
Amid pressure of growing concerns of a recession, and contrary to every public comment he has ever made, Ben Bernanke stepped in to bail out Wall Street at the expense of higher inflation and a declining US dollar. His 50/50 bps cut on the fed funds and discount rates sent stock prices and [...]

Charting Stocks Update
August 19, 2007
“The US government is on a ‘burning platform’ of unsustainable policies and practices with fiscal deficits, chronic healthcare underfunding, immigration and overseas military commitments threatening a crisis if action is not taken soon.
..These include “dramatic” tax rises, slashed government services and the large-scale dumping by foreign governments of holdings of US [...]

Charting Stocks
April 1, 2006
“All great inflations end with the acceptance of real money—gold—and the rejection of political money—paper. The stage is now set; monetary order is of the utmost importance. Conditions are deteriorating, and the solutions proposed to date have only made things worse. Although the solution is readily available to us, powerful forces whose [...]

Charting Stocks Update
March 17, 2007
Merrill Lynch urges the Fed to cut rates:
Merrill Analyst — “If the inflation-fighting Federal Reserve were to keep rates unchanged to contain price growth — instead of cutting by 1 percentage point in the second half of 2007 as Merrill expects — then this would put the probability of an outright [...]

January 1, 2007
Charting Stocks 2007 Outlook:
The case for a Stock Market decline in 2007
-Contraction of the manufacturing sector: Usually precedes a recession
-Auto production declining by more than 10%: Usually precedes a recession.
-The collapsing real estate market: Public Home Builders report record cancellations. KB Homes 53% of orders were cancelled in 2006. Pulte Homes 36%, [...]