Charting Stocks

Last week we mentioned that the spring rally had reached completion.The major averages were coming up against major resistance at a time when an oversold rally was losing momentum. Admittedly, our call was a couple of days early but today looks like a key reversal day. If the selling continues into tomorrows close, last week [...]

The once over-sold stock market has rallied for the past couple of weeks. This rally, though fresh in all of our minds, is not much different in time, or magnitude, than the previous upward corrections throughout this bear market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose almost 240 points (3.5%) today. As mentioned in a previous post, large daily percentage gains are more consistent with bear markets than bulls. Todays rally was led by banks and REIT’s,  two of the most beaten up and oversold sectors – also consistent with a bear market correction.
Below is [...]

The 2008 US dollar rally is losing steam and may be coming to an end. I know that the run up in the currency left many in the financial world scratching their heads. How can the currency of a collapsing economy strengthen? Why, when trillions of new dollars are being created out of thin air, [...]

Charting Stocks
September 16, 2007
In recent of posts, I’ve mentioned that 13,450 was an important level of resistance for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. On August 19th I noted that 13,458 was a key Fibonacci resistance level and thought that this would be a reasonable spot for the market to stall. I used last weeks post [...]

Charting Stocks Update
March 17, 2007
Merrill Lynch urges the Fed to cut rates:
Merrill Analyst — “If the inflation-fighting Federal Reserve were to keep rates unchanged to contain price growth — instead of cutting by 1 percentage point in the second half of 2007 as Merrill expects — then this would put the probability of an outright [...]

March 4, 2007
The Bear Market Has Begun
(Update 2008: OK, so I was a bit early!)
In “The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007,” I made the case for a major stock market decline based on both macroeconomic events and technical weakness emerging in the global financial markets. At the time, my view was against [...]

February 26, 2007
There’s an old saying on Wall Street–”Where the broker-dealers go, so goes the market.”
After a day of heavy selling pressure, the AMEX broker-dealer index broke below the 50 day moving average. This is not a good sign for the health of the market.
Below we see the index breaking down after todays trading.

The following [...]