Charting Stocks

The 2008 US dollar rally is losing steam and may be coming to an end. I know that the run up in the currency left many in the financial world scratching their heads. How can the currency of a collapsing economy strengthen? Why, when trillions of new dollars are being created out of thin air, [...]

The yield on the 10 year treasury sunk to a 50 year low this week. It’s important to pay attention to moves in the treasury yield. If investors are panicked, they are more concerned with safety and less concerned with returns. Because price and yield are inversely related, when demand increases and the price for [...]

The Fed’s Move
Amid pressure of growing concerns of a recession, and contrary to every public comment he has ever made, Ben Bernanke stepped in to bail out Wall Street at the expense of higher inflation and a declining US dollar. His 50/50 bps cut on the fed funds and discount rates sent stock prices and [...]

Charting Stocks
April 1, 2006
“All great inflations end with the acceptance of real money—gold—and the rejection of political money—paper. The stage is now set; monetary order is of the utmost importance. Conditions are deteriorating, and the solutions proposed to date have only made things worse. Although the solution is readily available to us, powerful forces whose [...]

March 4, 2007
The Bear Market Has Begun
(Update 2008: OK, so I was a bit early!)
In “The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007,” I made the case for a major stock market decline based on both macroeconomic events and technical weakness emerging in the global financial markets. At the time, my view was against [...]

Charting Stocks Weekly Update
Negative divergence has been present in the major average for the past couple of months. Meaning that while the price action of the major averages have been moving higher, some of their respective indicators have been moving in the opposite direction (lower). In a true uptrend, you’d like to see [...]

January 1, 2007
Charting Stocks 2007 Outlook:
The case for a Stock Market decline in 2007
-Contraction of the manufacturing sector: Usually precedes a recession
-Auto production declining by more than 10%: Usually precedes a recession.
-The collapsing real estate market: Public Home Builders report record cancellations. KB Homes 53% of orders were cancelled in 2006. Pulte Homes 36%, [...]