Charting Stocks

I came across an article on MarketWatch.com which argues that the price of silver is cheap relative to gold. Written by Myra Saefong, the article goes on to say that because silver is trading more than 70 times less than gold, it is under priced when compared to gold.
When reading market commentary, I tend to [...]

Gold’s recent price action suggests a breakout may be near.

After consolidating for almost a year, it appears that gold may be in the early stages of another advancement. The chart below illustrates the breach of the 1 year downtrend (Red line). The RSI (bottom section) suggests that the move may have more to go as [...]

One of the ways market technicians try to predict sector out performance is by conducting a relative strength analysis. In a bear market the price charts of most sectors and stocks are moving down with the market. Some sectors are moving down more than the market, and so they are relatively weaker, and some are [...]

I noticed a couple of comments (OK just one) regarding inflation/deflation and how to know which is dominant. To get the answer I like to use a simple inflation/deflation indicator that I first learned about by reading John Murphy’s Intermarket Analysis book. I highly recommend reading this book to anyone who’s interested in charting stocks [...]

The yield on the 10 year treasury sunk to a 50 year low this week. It’s important to pay attention to moves in the treasury yield. If investors are panicked, they are more concerned with safety and less concerned with returns. Because price and yield are inversely related, when demand increases and the price for [...]

Charting Stocks Update
August 19, 2007
“The US government is on a ‘burning platform’ of unsustainable policies and practices with fiscal deficits, chronic healthcare underfunding, immigration and overseas military commitments threatening a crisis if action is not taken soon.
..These include “dramatic” tax rises, slashed government services and the large-scale dumping by foreign governments of holdings of US [...]

Charting Stocks Update
March 17, 2007
Merrill Lynch urges the Fed to cut rates:
Merrill Analyst — “If the inflation-fighting Federal Reserve were to keep rates unchanged to contain price growth — instead of cutting by 1 percentage point in the second half of 2007 as Merrill expects — then this would put the probability of an outright [...]

March 4, 2007
The Bear Market Has Begun
(Update 2008: OK, so I was a bit early!)
In “The Coming Stock Market Crash of 2007,” I made the case for a major stock market decline based on both macroeconomic events and technical weakness emerging in the global financial markets. At the time, my view was against [...]

Charting Stocks Weekly Update
Negative divergence has been present in the major average for the past couple of months. Meaning that while the price action of the major averages have been moving higher, some of their respective indicators have been moving in the opposite direction (lower). In a true uptrend, you’d like to see [...]

January 1, 2007
Charting Stocks 2007 Outlook:
The case for a Stock Market decline in 2007
-Contraction of the manufacturing sector: Usually precedes a recession
-Auto production declining by more than 10%: Usually precedes a recession.
-The collapsing real estate market: Public Home Builders report record cancellations. KB Homes 53% of orders were cancelled in 2006. Pulte Homes 36%, [...]